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Showing posts with label nomination. Show all posts
Showing posts with label nomination. Show all posts

Sunday, June 17, 2012

No Nomination, but Paul Predicts Strong Contingent at G.O.P. Convention

Representative Ron Paul may be the most libertarian of the Republicans who ran in the 2012 primaries, but he is encouraging his supporters with delegate estimates that veer toward liberal.

In a statement late last night, Mr. Paul suggested that, either officially or in spirit, his backers would represent “just over 20 percent” of the delegates at the Republican National Convention in August.

“And while this total is not enough to win the nomination, it puts us in a tremendous position to grow our movement and shape the future of the GOP!” he said.

“We stand to send nearly 200 bound delegates” to Tampa, Fla., Mr. Paul said, a number that “shatters the predictions of the pundits.” According to The Associated Press, Mr. Paul currently has 137 bound delegates, behind Newt Gingrich. There are still 261 delegates up for grabs: 40 delegates in Utah’s June 26 primary and 43 “super delegates,” with the balance coming from states that have held nominating contests but will not assign all their delegates until local and state conventions. Though Mr. Paul announced last month that he would not actively campaign, his highly organized supporters have successfully racked up delegates in states that Mr. Paul did not win. (For example, though Mr. Paul came in a distant second in Minnesota’s nonbinding caucuses, he has 30 delegates from the state. Rick Santorum, who won, and Mitt Romney both have three.)

A weekend dispute between Paul supporters and other Republican officials at Louisiana’s convention resulted in an arrest.

Mr. Paul also said his campaign would send “several hundred” people who are bound Romney delegates but nonetheless back Mr. Paul’s ideas, resulting in “nearly 500 supporters” on the convention floor — a figure impossible to verify.

“We have never had this kind of opportunity,” he said. “There will be hundreds of your fellow supporters in Tampa who will be ready and willing to push the Republican Party back to its limited government, liberty roots.” Mr. Paul also cautioned his followers to “be respectful.”

Meanwhile, Paul supporters who are trying to plan a multiday festival in his honor in Tampa just days before the official convention are accusing Republican officials of blocking approval for their venues.


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Friday, April 6, 2012

Mitt Romney Wins Maryland, Tightening Grip on Nomination

Eric Thayer for The New York TimesMitt Romney attended a primary-night rally in Milwaukee, Wis.

MILWAUKEE — Mitt Romney tightened his grip on the Republican nomination on Tuesday with a sweep of the primaries in Wisconsin, Maryland and the District of Columbia, and found himself in his first direct engagement with President Obama, an unmistakable signal that the general election would not wait for internal Republican politics.

The Election 2012 AppA one-stop destination for the latest political news — from The Times and other top sources. Plus opinion, polls, campaign data and video.

Mitt Romney campaigned with Representative Paul D. Ryan on Tuesday at a sandwich shop in Waukesha, Wis.

Mr. Romney emerged from the evening with substantial gains in delegates and a growing perception that he was winning over previously reluctant elements of the party. In winning the main battleground of Wisconsin, Mr. Romney led among strong Tea Party supporters and ran closely with Rick Santorum among those who consider themselves to be very conservative and among evangelical Christians, according to exit polls.  

Mr. Santorum, who at one point led in polls here, said he would continue to compete for voters who “have yet to be heard” in the coming primaries, starting with his home state, Pennsylvania, on April 24.

But the day was in some respects the start of the general election. Mr. Obama for the first time singled Mr. Romney out by name, during a major address dedicated to the budget championed by Mr. Romney’s marquee endorser in Wisconsin — Representative Paul D. Ryan — which the president called “social Darwinism.”

“He said that he’s ‘very supportive’ of this new budget,” Mr. Obama said of Mr. Romney while speaking at a meeting of editors and reporters in Washington. Using a mocking tone, and referring obliquely to perceptions of his potential opponent’s elite pedigree, Mr. Obama added, “And he even called it ‘marvelous,’ which is a word you don’t often hear when it comes to describing a budget; it’s a word you don’t hear generally.”

Taking the stage to declare victory in downtown Milwaukee, Mr. Romney took his turn to strike general election themes. “President Obama thinks he’s doing a good job — I’m not kidding,” Mr. Romney said, speaking with a huge American flag behind him and an excited hall of supporters in front of him. “It’s enough to make you think that years of flying around on Air Force One, surrounded by an adoring staff of true believers telling you that you’re great and you’re doing a great job, it’s enough to make you think that you might  become a little out of touch.”

Even as he assailed Mr. Obama as presiding over a “government-centered society,” Mr. Romney spoke in upbeat, elevated and optimistic tones that were steeped in themes of patriotism fashioned for a general election.

“The dreamers can dream a little bigger, the help wanted signs can be dusted off, and we can start again,” Mr. Romney said. “And this time we’ll get it right.”

Mr. Obama’s new focus on Mr. Romney represents a sudden but much-thought-out shift.

The White House had been content until now to watch the Republican race unfold on its own, and let Mr. Santorum and Mr. Romney batter each other without its help.

But as Mr. Romney has started to solidify his delegate lead, unify his party and repair the damage to his favorability ratings from these past few months of hard campaigning, Mr. Obama’s aides decided to take their engagement to a new level on Tuesday.

The president will not directly confront Mr. Romney every day, aides said. That responsibility will largely be left to Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. and the re-election campaign.

But the frequency of the television advertising is increasing, an intentional strategy of the Obama campaign to deny Mr. Romney a moment to rebuild from his long and bruising primary fight.

The Democrats have conducted extensive research on Mr. Romney, his positions and the early perceptions that voters may have of him. A key finding of polling and other surveys, advisers say, is that Mr. Romney remains undefined to a wide universe of people, a void that the Obama campaign is eager to fill while Mr. Romney is still trying to secure the nomination.

The president’s re-election team was initially planning to start directly confronting the likely Republican nominee in February — the week after Mr. Romney won the Florida primary — but the rapid rise of Mr. Santorum delayed the need for that effort.

Now, advisers to Mr. Obama say they are intent on keeping the arguments from the Republican race fresh in the minds of voters, including those who were not closely following the primary.

Mr. Obama, as he spoke about income disparity in America on Tuesday, outlined what his campaign hopes to make a central question of the presidential race: Should voters trust Mr. Romney, one of the wealthiest candidates in modern times, to be fair to them?

Ashley Parker contributed reporting from Milwaukee, and Mark Landler from Washington.


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Wednesday, December 7, 2011

Iowa Caucus Victory Doesn’t Necessarily Secure GOP Nomination (ContributorNetwork)

The Iowa caucus is one month away. Republican candidates for president will begin to discern how much voters approve of them Jan. 3, when Iowans choose their candidate for the GOP nominee. The Hill reports the GOP field is wide open. Newt Gingrich is moving up in the polls. Herman Cain is in crisis mode as he suspended his campaign amid allegations of an extramarital affair. Mitt Romney is trying to be victorious in Iowa where he hasn't been successful in the past.

Even if a surprise candidate wins the Iowa caucus, it's doesn't necessarily mean that person will be the Republican nominee. History isn't necessarily on the winning candidate's side.

* The Des Moines Register lists results of past caucuses. Republicans released numbers going back to 1980. A summary was only available for 1976.

* In the 1980 Iowa caucus, George Bush defeated Ronald Reagan by over 2,000 votes for the GOP choice. Reagan went on to win the Republican nomination and then the presidency with Bush as his running mate for vice president. Future candidate Bob Dole only got 1,576 votes at just 1.5 percent.

* Eight years later, Kansas Sen. Bob Dole received over 40,000 votes in the Iowa caucus on his way to a bid for the presidency. Bush came in third place with half as many votes yet he went on to win the 1988 general election over Michael Dukakis, according to the U.S. Election Atlas.

* The 1996 Iowa caucus actually got the GOP nominee correct. Dole received the overall nomination in a crowded field of nine candidates vying for votes in the "first in the nation" election. Dole won narrowly over Pat Buchanan by less than 3,000 votes.

* George W. Bush won the Iowa caucus in 2000 by a full 11 percentage points. Sen. John McCain came in fifth place with just over 4,000 votes.

* The New York Times reports the 2008 Iowa caucus was one of the more interesting in history. Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee got over 40,000 votes while his closest competition received 29,949 votes. Romney, the current front runner, was the one who got second. McCain was the future nominee but voters wouldn't know it by his showing in Iowa. Then-Sen. Barack Obama's opponent came in a distant fourth place with just over 15,500 votes.

Even though Iowa is first in the nation when it comes to picking presidential nominees for elections, winning the Iowa caucus doesn't guarantee success nationally. Perhaps both Romney and Gingrich should realize that as they try to win the day on Jan. 3.

William Browning is a research librarian specializing in U.S. politics. Born in St. Louis, Browning is active in local politics and served as a campaign volunteer for President Barack Obama and Missouri Sen. Claire McCaskill.


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Monday, June 20, 2011

Mark Amodei gets Republican nomination for Nevada special election (Daily Caller)

The Republican Party of Nevada on Saturday picked Mark Amodei to be their nominee in the special election in Congressional District 2.

In a vote by the Nevada GOP Central Committee, Amodei won on the first ballot with 221 votes. The other two candidates nominated by the Central Committee, Commander Kirk Lippold and Greg Brower, got 56 and 46 votes, respectively.

Until recently, Amodei served as the chairman of the Nevada GOP; his replacement will be elected in a later vote on Saturday. He is also a former Nevada state senator.

The choice is not necessarily final, however. A Nevada Supreme Court hearing later in June could overturn the lower court’s decision that gave the central committees of each party the power to choose a nominee, in which case the election would return to a free-for-all in which any candidate who wished could enter.

Brower has said he will drop out of the race now and not continue to campaign, pending a court decision, in the interest of uniting the party behind a single candidate. Lippold, who announced that he would run for the seat in 2012, before the vacancy was even announced, has said he will continue to run until the court makes a decision, and that he will still run for the seat in 2012.

A source involved in one of the campaigns explained that Lippold’s insistence that he would not drop out of the race if he was not nominated by the Central Committee lost him a number of votes over the past five days for “not being a good Republican” and helping the party coalesce behind a single candidate.

(Nevada judge rules in favor of Republicans on special election rules)

In a statement, Lippold called his performance in the Central Committee election a “victory.”

“As someone who has not spent years entrenched inside the political system in Nevada, I am extremely encouraged, and more energized than ever by the level of support I have received from people throughout the district,” Lippold said. “My message of conservative leadership and putting an end to business as usual politics has clearly resonated.”

Philip Stutts, a strategist for Lippold’s campaign, was even more blunt.

“This is the craziest election scenario. We went from planning a June 2012 primary, to a September 2011 primary, to a 26-day primary in which the frontrunner had already been elected by this body, and Greg Brower had spent 13 years building relationships with republican party insiders,” Stutts said.

“Mark Amodei has already been elected state body chairman,” he said, and given that scenario, they had not expected a win. The Central Committee vote, he said, was about figuring out, “could we even be competitive for second place. And we were, against a guy who’s been in politics for 13 years in the state. We’re excited, we’re encouraged, and we plan to run again.”

Read more stories from The Daily Caller

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Mark Amodei gets Republican nomination for Nevada special election

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