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Showing posts with label Atlantic. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Atlantic. Show all posts

Friday, January 6, 2012

Maybe Mitt Romney Didn't Win Iowa (The Atlantic Wire)

A Iowa caucus goer claims the Republican Party's vote totals were off by 20 votes in favor of Mitt Romney, a error that if fixed would be enough to swing the final tally to Rick Santorum. Edward True says he helped to count the votes at the tiny 53-person caucus in Moulton, Iowa, and claims that Romney got just two votes. But when he checked the state party's website later, they credited Romney with 22 votes in Moulton. Since Romney was declared the winner by just 8 votes, that mistake would have been enough to the swing the state in his favor.

Related: Attention Must Be Paid! (To Rick Santorum)

GOP officials say True is not a precinct captain and has no business talking about results, which won't be fully certified for another week anyway. Meanwhile, Santorum claims that he was told by party officials that there was a different 21-vote discrepancy in his favor, meaning the final vote tally is only off by one. 

Related: The Polls That Got Iowa Right

In either case, it doesn't really matter  — unless maybe you had money riding on it — because winning or losing is not the point. The fact that Santorum could have beaten Romney is all any one cares about at the moment. Eight more votes won't change the outcome in New Hampshire or South Carolina and once the nomination is secure, one of them will be forced to drop out anyway. (Even at a brokered convention, which will never happen, Iowa would only send 25 delegates and it's not a winner-take-all state.) So it's not exactly a Bush v. Gore situation. However, True is also a Ron Paul supporter and everyone wants to see Romney brought down a peg, so if you're looking to indulge in some primary conspiracy theories, knock yourself out.


View the original article here

Thursday, November 24, 2011

GOP Rivals Bond Over Conservative Roots (The Atlantic Wire)

DES MOINES, Iowa – There was plenty of good will and a few tears as six Republican presidential rivals gathered here Saturday afternoon for a forum in which they agreed more than they debated the role of government and religion in society before an audience of evangelical activists.

Related: Conservatives Fear Perry Will Start Another Culture War

The atmosphere turned emotional in the second hour as candidates recalled personal challenges and failures, prompting at least two – businessman Herman Cain and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum – to cry.

Related: Tim Pawlenty Is Officially Running, Mitch Daniels Probably Isn't

The “Thanksgiving table forum” was hosted by the Family Leader, a Christian organization that encourages its members to consider their religious views in political decisions. Neither Mitt Romney nor Jon Huntsman, the two Mormons in the race, attended.

Related: Trumpdate 2012: Gives $50,000 to Rahm, Doesn't Vote Much

The first hour featured questions about hot-button conservative issues, and prompted a discussion among candidates about whether more religious citizens in the country have been marginalized.

Related: Cheri Daniels Speech Earns Raves, Advice from Laura Bush

“Those of us that are people of faith and strong faith have allowed the non-faith element to intimidate us into not fighting back,” Cain told the audience of about 2,500 in a West Des Moines church. Texas Gov. Rick Perry bemoaned a law that limits political speech from the pulpit, saying pastors needed to be talking about conservative values in church. “And let me tell you: it needs to be our values,” the he said. Agreed Rep. Michele Bachmann, R-Minn.: “That’s not the American way."

Related: Math Says You Should Take Herman Cain Seriously

That prompted the candidates to make a collective argument for getting the federal government out of education and allowing discussion of religion in schools. Leading that discussion was former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who captured the first rounds of applause of the night and was a consistent favorite with the crowd.

Asked about what value he would most like to re-instill in America, Gingrich said, “I think it would be that every American understood that we were endowed by our creator with certain inalienable rights, and I wouldn’t have anybody teaching who felt uncomfortable explaining what the Founding Fathers meant.”

Despite the candidates’ devotion to the 10th Amendment, upholding states' rights, nearly all came out in favor of federal laws or constitutional amendments outlawing abortion and defining marriage as the union of one man and one woman.

“When you look at issues like traditional marriage, when you look at issues like the human life amendment, the president of the United States can lead on those issues, can publicly proclaim support and go campaign across the country to get states to support those positions,” Perry said. “That is the virtuous direction that the next president of the United States needs to powerfully go down.”

The notable exception was Texas Rep. Ron Paul, who said he would leave the definition of marriage to the states in accordance with the Constitution. He went one step further, though, suggesting the entire institution would be best left to the church.

“I think the reason we fight and feud over this is because we have too much government everywhere,” Paul said. “I would say the church should make this decision.”

The talk about states’ rights turned to civil rights at one point when forum moderator Frank Luntz, a conservative pollster, asked Cain whether states had the right to say ‘no’ to Washington’s attempts to legislate on moral issues – such as segregation in the South in the earlier part of the 20th century.

The Founding Fathers, “set the bar high,” Cain said. “They didn’t set it where they were, they set the bar high hoping that this nation would aspire up to that level and that’s the journey we have been on since the beginning of this nation,” he said. Cain acknowledged that the federal government had the right to interfere with state law on that occasion because his state was “wrong.”

“I saw the separate water fountains. It wasn’t right, it didn’t feel right,” Cain said.

Although the candidates were in agreement for much of the night – and the tone was that of a group of friendly colleagues – Santorum at times angled for votes from the evangelical audience by saying he had done more to fight for the issues that were so important to them.

“That’s the difference between me and everybody else out here,” he said during a discussion of what the candidates would do to protect life. “You make the assumption that the Supreme Court’s going to overturn Roe v. Wade. I’m not going to wait,” Santorum said. He touted his efforts last year in the campaign to oust three Iowa Supreme Court justices who had ruled in favor of same-sex marriage.

The second part of the night featured Luntz asking candidates to share personal stories and challenges. Cain choked up and almost couldn’t finish a story about being diagnosed with cancer and having his wife tell him, “we can do this.” Santorum got misty-eyed when he talked about the struggles facing his young daughter, Isabella, who was born with Trisomy 18.

There was compassion among the rivals. Perry reached out to comfort both men, who flanked him, as they told their stories.

"I feel like Dr. Phil," said Luntz, referring to the TV psychologist.

Before the event, Family Leader CEO Bob Vander Plaats stressed that the goal of the forum was not just to elicit the candidates’ positions on certain issues, but to also elucidate why the believe what they do.

That goal was shared by moderator Luntz, who told crowd he wanted them to “understand [the candidates’] worldview.”

“There’s a reason Iowa goes first,” Luntz said, “and it’s because of you.”


View the original article here

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Romney Opens Iowa Office (The Atlantic Wire)

Sarah B. Boxer, National Journal Sarah B. Boxer, National Journal – Sat Nov 19, 4:56 pm ET

Mitt Romney is skipping a big Republican presidential candidates’ forum in Iowa Saturday but that doesn’t mean he’s skipping out on the Hawkeye state.

Related: Romney Leads in Latest Iowa Poll

The former Massachusetts governor, who has kept a deliberately low profile in a state that gave him a rude stumble coming out of the box in his 2008 presidential effort, quietly opened a campaign office in Des Moines this week. While some of Romney’s rivals have made photo opportunities of such headquarters’ openings, Team Romney is not going out of its way to publicize it’s Iowa beachhead. Romney’s Iowa team consists of his top Iowa strategist, Dave Kochel, state director Sara Craig and three field staffers, all of whom have been on board for some time.

Related: Romney's Job-Creation Plan: Cut Taxes and Punish China

This is in stark contrast to his office in Manchester, N.H., with a staff nearly double in size - though the Granite State is half as large as its Hawkeye counterpart. Romney is putting a big emphasis on New Hampshire, where he’s practically a favorite son. As governor of neighboring Massachusetts, he was a familiar presence on the state’s TV screens and he owns a vacation home in the Granite State. In Iowa, Romney has been such an infrequent visitor that Gov. Terry Branstad, a fellow Republican, has publicly chided him for his truancy.

Related: Mitt Romney May Be Fighting for Iowa After All

Four years ago, Romney was badly burned in Iowa, finishing a distant second to Mike Huckabee despite having poured resources into the state for more than a year. The Mormon ex-governor has had difficulty gaining traction with evangelical voters, a key constituency among Iowa caucus-goers. The Iowa forum that Romney is skipping – while six of his chief rivals attend – is sponsored one of the state’s leading evangelical groups. 

Related: Chart: Some People Have Forgotten Who Mitt Romney Is

Even so, a respected poll of GOP caucus-goers by the Des Moines Register showed Romney within striking distance of a win. And, despite a two month absence from Iowa between August and October, Romney has been slowly ramping up in the state.  He has been to Iowa twice in the last month, and is heading back again on Wednesday.

Related: Both Romney and Obama Want to Make 2012 a Sequel to 2004

During Romney's last trip to the state, on Nov. 7, professional cameras shot his appearance, leading to speculation that he was filming a commercial and will be on air there shortly. The campaign has yet to confirm this, and Romney commercials have not yet appeared on air anywhere in the country.

Meanwhile, as expected, Rick Perry’s campaign released a new 30-second TV commercial that will be airing on Iowa broadcast TV, as well as on cable stations in the state and nationally. The ad emphasizes Perry’s credentials as a Washington outsider.


View the original article here

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

The Pizza Man Rides High (The Atlantic Wire)

Herman Cain gets treated as an also-ran in most coverage of the Republican presidential primary field. He's a part of the peloton, well back of the presumed front-running rivals, Mitt Romney and Rick Perry.

Related: Romney Faring Better Against Obama Than Perry in Polls

Not this weekend, and not among conservatives in Orlando.

Related: Mitt Romney Is 2012's Hillary Clinton

Cain, the former head of the Godfather's Pizza chain and the seeming winner of the most laugh lines at Thursday's presidential debate, stormed to victory in the Florida straw poll on Saturday, taking 37 percent of the vote to Perry's 15 percent.

Related: The Chris Christie Dream Won't Die

It was a "major upset," said USA Today, and further sign of the weakening support for Perry among conservatives who want an alternative to Romney.

Related: South Carolina Independents Would Vote for Colbert Over Obama

That Cain's big victory is primarily seen as a symptom of Perry's campaign woes is not going to please the die-hards who feel that Cain and other conservatives have been ignored by the media.

Related: Rasmussen Has Ron Paul Running Closest With Obama

But the two front-runners are ignoring them, too. The New York Times reports that the Perry and Romney campaigns are hard at work compiling dossiers on each other's records. In Perry's telling, Romney will be what his 2008 rivals – and Democrats – alleged: an inveterate waffler and flip-flopper. And Perry, according to Romney, is a rank amateur, unready to assume command of foreign policy and insufficiently tough on illegal immigration.

The lines of argument are hardening as the party’s leading presidential candidates dig in for what Republicans believe could be a long and bitter fight for the nomination, extending into the spring as new rules allow contenders to pick up delegates even in states where they lose.

After three debates that have shaped the race into a Perry-Romney contest, even while highlighting the imperfections and political vulnerabilities of both men, the campaign is now entering a new phase. The candidates have a week to make their pitch to donors before the third quarter closes on Sept. 30, a critical point that could further narrow the field.

But, The Times goes on to note, those imperfections are not insignificant. They are a large part of this weekend's latest outbreak of Christie Fever.


View the original article here

Monday, September 26, 2011

Chris Christie Fever Is A Chronic Condition (The Atlantic Wire)

The Republican primary electorate, if the journalism devoted to its ever-changing tastes is to be believed, has come to resemble an indecisive diner staring at the circling dessert cart. Will they fill up on Romney? Why settle for Romney when they could have Bachmann? A little Bachmann doesn't tide over a voter hungry for Romney. And having ordered and tasted them all, aren't they just going to wind up salivating over the banana split anyway?

Related: The Chris Christie Dream Won't Die

So attention turns again to Chris Christie.

Related: A War of Comparisons

The New Jersey governor who has spent much of the year swearing up and down that he's not considering a run for president is now "reconsidering," says Politico, citing Republican sources. The lingering insecurity among Republican voters about their frontrunners so far is a factor in Christie's deliberations, the sources report.

Related: Google Splits Ad Team Down Party Lines, Denies Favoring Obama

If Republican voters really aren't satisfied with their options so far, it indicates two truths. First, some of those voters just really don't like Mitt Romney, the front-runner since the earliest of early-going and the candidate who polls best against President Barack Obama. Second, Rick Perry, the confident Texan who was supposed to enter the race like the cavalry cresting the hill has seriously failed to impress.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s candidacy has failed to clear a basic bar with elites and some donors, and his shoddy debate performance in Orlando has only highlighted the window for someone who Republicans searching for a Mitt Romney alternative can rally around.

Christie’s potential candidacy has been an increasingly fevered fantasy of a certain cadre of some media and business elites — mostly based in New York, with a smattering of California technology and entertainment players — since last summer. That’s when he showed up at a Sun Valley conference hosted by the investment banker Allen and Co. and wowed the crowd, including Rupert Murdoch, with what many in attendance described as a nimble mind and a speaking style that was both articulate and blunt-spoken.

But after months of going out of his way to end the speculation, Christie started indicating he would at least think about getting in during the past week, the sources said, a period in which he held an event with Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels — who has strongly indicated he’d like to see another entry to the field — and had a meeting with a group of major New York donors.

Not just Politico, either. He's thinking about it, the New York Post says.

Related: Democrats Try to Change the Subject from Debt to Jobs

It is probably a good indicator of conservative hunger for a Christie candidacy that we have entered the stage of Pundit Persona Adoption. Thus was Jennifer Rubin's Right Turn column inhabiting the Christie mind even before this week's Republican debate began. A fictional Bill Kristol even clamors from the wings:

Christie would then turn and say, “Mary Pat, this is sort of embarrassing.” Mary Pat would answer: “You think you could do any better?” Before he could answer, one of his kids would yell out, “Dad, it’s that Mr. Kristol on the phone again. He says he’s coming over here if you don’t talk to him.”

But does the guy actually want to run for president? And can he? An interesting group is still dumping cold water on the news, including Ari Fleischer, the former spokesman for President George W. Bush. Fleischer has been tweeting skeptically about Christie's chances of entering the presidential race since the latest boomlet of interest arrived. It's too late for Christie to raise enough money and get "up 2 speed on issues" (ouch?) in time to make a play for the Republican nomination, Fleischer says. There is "no on ramp now" for Christie, Fleischer asserts. Speaking fluent Twitterese, the spokesman explains: "Xpectations r 2do things instantly, but it takes time 2get in national shape."

Related: Perry Will Say Obama's Too Wimpy to Be Commander in Chief

He also offers an explanation for Christie's backers to push a national run, one that Christie fans won't like. All is not well back in Trenton, Fleischer says:

$ ppl are telling Christie he can't win re-election in NJ so he needs 2 run 4 potus. It's now or never, they're telling him.

Somehow, I think they'll come up with a better line than "I'm running for President because I can't get reelected governor" if the time comes.


View the original article here

Wednesday, July 13, 2011

Who's Going to Drop Out of the 2012 Race First? (The Atlantic Wire)

Here's an immutable truth of the Republican primary: of the many, many contenders for the presidential nomination, all but one will lose. That means that eventually -- this week, this month, this year -- the herd will thin. Who'll be the first to go? The New York Times's  Jeff Zeleny gets the magic 8-ball rolling this morning with a look at former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty's struggling campaign under the headline: "Will Republican Race’s First In Be the First Out?"

Related: A Guide to Properly Insulting the 2012 GOP Candidates

Pawlenty has been running for president for two years, focusing intensely on Iowa, but he's still polling at just 6 percent in the state. If he doesn't do well in the Iowa Straw poll, a little more than a month away, his campaign is probably finished. Pawlenty told the Des Moines Register's editors that he's behind in the polls because "this week is the first time that I've campaigned in earnest in Iowa," Jennifer Jacobs writes--but Pawlenty has been in the state more times than any of his rivals save Rick Santorum.

Related: GOP Debate Preview: Hey, We're Not So Bad

Pawlenty may stick it out for a little bit longer, but there are plenty of contenders for the first to concede that they won't be going to the White House in 2013. 

Newt Gingrich has had a rough campaign so far too--his staff quit, his Tiffany's habit was revealed, he criticized an unpopular Medicare overhaul plan, his campaign is a million dollars in debt--and Slate's Dave Weigel wonders if he's just waiting till the right moment to pull out of the campaign with dignity. Iowa Politic's Lynn Campbell reports that even groups who've invited Gingrich to speak aren't being nice to him: the Christian group The Family Leader issued a statement four days before his lecture saying,

"Our exceptional and free society simply cannot endure without … nurturing nuclear families comprised of sexually faithful husbands and wives... We acknowledge and regret the widespread hypocrisy of many who say they defend marriage, yet turn a blind eye toward the epidemic of infidelity and the anemic condition of marriages in their own communities."

Gingrich is on his third marriage.

Related: First GOP Debate with Recognizable Candidates Will Be on June 13

Related: The Many Flops of the 2012 Race So Far

Rick Santorum hasn't won an election in 11 years when he was Senator from Pennsylvania. And despite going to Iowa even more than Tim Pawlenty, he's polling at 4 percent in the state. A telling headline from CBS News' Lucy Madison is this: "Rick Santorum: Back of the pack not a bad place to be." Referring to a poll showing a large majority of Republican voters unhappy with any of the 2012 candidates, Santorum explained that it was actually a good thing: "As someone who's sitting at the back of the pack, and probably has the lowest name recognition; they're probably not talking about me... That's a good thing as far as I'm concerned. I think that's an opportunity." So he's probably unlikely to drop out any time soon--thanks to the power of denial.

Jon Huntsman joined the race just two weeks ago, but his campaign announcement earned him zero bounce in the polls. Some assume the pro-gay rights, environmentally-friendly Republican is just planting the seeds for a 2016 run.

Related: Translating the Wall Street Journal's Story on Rick Perry

Herman Cain still polls well, but he's not very good at talking about the things you have to talk about when you run for president. He's flubbed answers on Palestinians' "right of return," said he'd only sign bills three pages long or less, and couldn't explain whether he'd hire Muslims at a primary debate. And his staff quit. But he's rich and he seems to enjoy all the attention. So he'll probably stick it out for the long haul.


View the original article here

Thursday, July 7, 2011

The Strange Ways Candidate Gary Johnson Gets Media Attention (The Atlantic Wire)

It's difficult for a marginalized presidential candidate to get attention without saying or doing something embarrassing. For the most part, former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson isn't one of those fringe candidates, but--as The Atlantic's Conor Friedersdorf has noted here, here and here--he isn't getting media share like the better-known, backed, and funded GOP contenders. So he's clearly been trying to create his own buzz, with mixed results.

Related: First Official Republican 2012 Candidate Is Gay

Today, Johnson made news for launching a new website catered to gamblers before his trip to Las Vegas on Thursday, of which CNN briefly noted: "Gary Johnson is trying to hold 'em - poker players." The site was only his latest effort to get a little bit of attention, and we've noticed a few similar PR moves of his recently. Here's our quick list.

Related: Obama Must Be Thrilled: Trump Wants to Run as an Independent

Appealing to Poker Players and Heading to the World Series of Poker Party - Take a look at Gary Johnson's special website set up to help raise funds from those who don't think the federal government should be "involved in restricting lawful commerce that doesn't harm anyone," (i.e. gambling) as he put it on the site. It's a little Ron Paul-esque, but seems to have the intended effect: Matthew Kredell, a writer at Poker News noted "Even today, only a fringe candidate would go out on that ledge to court poker players. But for any candidate at all to see value in the poker vote is progress."

Related: Trumpdate 2012: Gives $50,000 to Rahm, Doesn't Vote Much

Arguing With an Obama Impersonator on Fox Business Network - In retrospect, this surreal moment of television has to be considered a misstep: how can a presidential candidate be taken seriously when he's earnestly arguing with an Obama look-alike now-known for telling racy jokes at June's Republican Leadership Conference? Of course, Johnson didn't know that said-impersonator Reggie Brown would be mired in controversy only a little over a week later. But the candidate should have known he was walking into a circus on Fox Business Network with this faux-debate:

Related: Drunk Pawlenty Worker Tries to Break Through Teen's Door at 3 a.m.

Responding to Every Single Question at the Debate He Wasn't Invited To - His notable exclusion (he didn't have enough support in national polls) from the much-hyped CNN presidential debate in June doesn't mean he missed much: it was Michele Bachmann's night anyway. But, dutifully, Johnson produced a 40-minute video splicing moderator John King's questions with his own trademarked answers. Of his answers, an impressed Conor Friedersdorf wrote: "If another lesser known produced a 40 minute clip with answers so compelling that I thought they could go viral, or were worthy of wider attention, I'd totally hit the embed button again."

Related: Mitt Romney Still Outpacing Rivals in Money and Polls

Trumpeting 'Legalize Marijuana' as a Signature Issue - He's done interviews with 420 Times magazine, been the unofficial choice of a High Times magazine staffers straw poll, and boldly endorsed marijuana legalization at CPAC. So by now, he seems to have established himself--aside from Ron Paul--as the Republican candidate who supports the legalization of pot. He even devoted his valuable, brief moment on the Colbert Report to give his full-throated endorsement: Leveraging Counterintuitive Positions: "I didn't create a single job" - A few weeks ago,  the conservative National Review magazine praised the former New Mexico governor's record on job growth in comparison to the other contenders, saying "Gary Johnson has the best record of the official candidates." (We made a chart of the job growth numbers cited in the report.) Instead of just accepting the praise, Johnson responded: "Contrary to the news, I didn't create a single job," before explaining that he didn't want to take credit for growth in his state. In a savvy move, he did, however, transform National Review's praise into a blurb for his campaign ad, below:

Want to add to this story? Open Wire.


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The Many Flops of the 2012 Race So Far (The Atlantic Wire)

The fourth Indiana Jones movie tried so hard and disappointed us so much. And that is what the 2012 Republican primary campaign has been like so far: Moments that were supposed to thrill us with their novelty or cleverness that just ended up seeming lame, like when Indy survived a nuclear bomb by climbing in an old refrigerator. Here are some of the 2012 race's biggest disappointments so far:

Mitt Romney was supposed to blow us away with his fundraising ability, and he started out promisingly, pulling in $10.5 million in a single day. But that sum ended up being half his entire haul for the first six months of the year. Romney has raised just over $20 million so far--$18.5 million in the second quarter. That pales in comparison to the campaign's goal of raising $50 million in the first half of the year, as Politico's Jonathan Martin reports.

After more than fifteen years of presidential anticipation, Newt Gingrich kicked off his campaign with his foot in his mouth. He ended the second fundraising quarter $1 million in debt, Alexander Burns reports. And since his entire campaign staff ditched him, he's fallen sharply in the polls, now entering asterisk territory, as Slate's Dave Weigel observes. Weigel says Gingrich is just waiting to pull out of the race till "whenever he feels like he can do it with dignity."

Jon Huntsman, the subject of many lengthy magazine profiles, earned absolutely zero bounce in the polls after his big Reaganesque campaign announcement in front of the Statue of Liberty. After spending a month in New Hampshire, he has just 2 percent of voters' support, according to a University of New Hampshire poll.

Tim Pawlenty, who was all set to be the anti-Romney candidate, is now admitting that Michele Bachmann might beat him in Iowa. But he claims that's just because Bachmann's "from Iowa." Pawlenty insists, "I'm the one candidate who can not only do well in a place like Iowa, but can win in New Hampshire, South Carolina, Florida, but also more importantly, beat Barack Obama in a general. There's a bunch of people who can do well in Iowa, but aren't gonna win the election." But he's still putting a huge emphasis on Iowa, hiring Mike Huckabee's daughter to advise his campaign there. NBC News' First Read explains that for Pawlenty, "The stakes for the straw poll are even higher. If he's not first or a close second, he's last. You know who finished third in the 2007 straw poll? Sam Brownback." But in a Des Moines Register poll of likely Iowa caucus goers, Pawlenty has 6 percent, for sixth place. As Ben Smith notes,"It's a big day for early Pawlenty obituaries."


View the original article here

Tuesday, July 5, 2011

The Big GOP Hopeful Question: How Do You Solve a Problem Like Obama? (The Atlantic Wire)

After a spring of gleeful Obama-bashing, some of the Republican presidential candidates are easing off their attacks on the president, the Los Angeles Times' Seema Mehta and Maeve Reston report. Rep. Michele Bachmann became nationally famous by wondering if the Obamas had "anti-American views," but when she announced her candidacy in June, she said the country's problems were "created by both parties." At a campaign stop in South Carolina, she promised to be "the unifying candidate." Meanwhile, Mitt Romney--who this week even told a voter about the time he "found some common ground" with Ted Kennedy--is easing up his attacks on Obama's economic record--maybe too much.

Related: Ron Paul Raised $1 Million Overnight

Of course the candidates can't be too nice to Obama--otherwise they'd have no reason to replace him. So Romney, at least, as adopted a new format. "The president's a nice guy, and I know he's trying, but he doesn't understand how the economy works," Romney said at a stop in Allentown, Pennsylvania, Thursday, coming close to the classic Southern insult formula (all Romney needed to do was tack on "Bless his heart" at the end.) Romney was standing in front of a boarded-up factory that Obama visited December 2009, citing it as an example of a business saved by the stimulus. The factory closed the next month, Romney said, because even though "it survived the Great Depression... It couldn't survive the Obama economy." He continued,

"Now the president says, 'Just give me more time' and 'It could have been worse.' ... It couldn’t have been worse for the people who worked at this plant. For them, this is as bad as it gets."

That's a slightly softer version of what Romney said at the primary debate in New Hampshire in June, when he said Obama "didn't create the recession, but he made it worse and longer." He said the same thing at a campaign stop earlier this week. But after his Allentown speech, NBC News' Sue Kroll pointed out that the economy is growing and the Dow is above 12,000--is the economy really "worse"? Romney replied, "I didn't say that things are worse. ... What I said was that economy hasn't turned around..."

Related: Mitt Romney Is a Twihard

That's where Romney might have gotten too nice, The New Yorker's Ryan Lizza says, calling the candidate's reversal "stunning." Lizza predicts Romney will "almost certainly" have to change his position again later in the campaign. Some conservatives are already accusing Romney of flip-flopping--"Of all the things to backtrack on, he picks something he was actually right about," Weasel Zippers says. But maybe Romney, occasionally portrayed as a classic uptight Northerner, just hasn't quite mastered the art of the gentle Southern put-down. This is how it's done:

Related: Romney's Early Campaign Tactic: Attack Obama's Jobs Record

Related: Trumpdate: How Did Obama Ever Get into the Ivy League?

Related: Translating the Wall Street Journal's Story on Rick Perry

Want to add to this story? Open Wire.


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Saturday, July 2, 2011

Will Obama Crush GOP Rivals in the 2012 Money Race? (The Atlantic Wire)

Today the 2012 candidates will be releasing the totals of how much money they raised in the second quarter of this year, and the numbers will clarify how each one is faring in the race. Jon Huntsman released his fundraising total Thursday--$4.1 million after only nine days as an official candidate. But about half of it came from his own bank account, The Salt Lake Tribune's Thomas Burr reports. Meanwhile, President Obama is expected to far outpace the Republicans competing to replace him. He attended two fundraisers Thursday night in a last-minute push to blow then-President Bush's record for an off-year election, set in 2003 with $50.1 million. Obama's campaign was aiming for $60 million; early Friday morning it boasted on Twitter that it received donations from 493,697 people.

After Mitt Romney raised $10.5 million in a single day in May, some expected him to come close to the fundraising record set by George W. Bush in 1999, when he raised $36.2 million. But Romney's team has been working to lower expectations. Reuters' Kim Dixon reports that Romney raised between $15 million and $20 million--less than he raised in the first quarter of 2007, even though he's widely viewed as the frontrunner.

Related: A Guide to Properly Insulting the 2012 GOP Candidates

Tim Pawlenty raised less than $5 million, The New York Times' Nicholas Confessore reports, with some of that money slated for use in the general election, so Pawlenty can't use it in the primaries. Pawlenty's campaign has been struggling, and a poor fundraising total won't help.  The Washington Post's Aaron Blake and Chris Cillizza, who call this day "Christmas in July for political nerds," note that in 2007, second-tier Democrats raised more than Pawlenty reportedly has--Bil Richardson pulled in $6 million, for example, and Chris Dodd raised $4 million. "But the more important question," Blake and Cillizza write, "is whether [Pawlenty's] outraised by Reps. Ron Paul and Michele Bachmann--or even... Huntsman."

Related: First GOP Debate with Recognizable Candidates Will Be on June 13

Politico's Glenn Thrush and Carrie Budoff Brown report that Obama's "hypercompetitive" campaign staff hopes to crush them all. Obama raised $745 million in 2008, and today offers "the first true test of his grassroots prowess and an early indicator of whether any 2008 pixie dust still sticks to a battle-scarred president." Democratic sources tell Politico that Obama will easily meet the $60 million goal, and maybe even surpass it. But if he doesn't, it would be "a seismic, if not quite Greek default-level, event."

Related: Ron Paul Raised $1 Million Overnight

Want to add to this story? Open Wire.


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Monday, June 27, 2011

GOP Candidates Are Ready for a National Conversation on Race (The Atlantic Wire)

In March of 2008, then-candidate Barack Obama gave a widely-praised speech calling for a national conversation on race. A little more than two years later, that conversation had only gotten "dumber," Politico's Ben Smith wrote, with Fox News constantly airing images of "new Black Panthers" and MSNBC hunting for racists in the Tea Party. But now it seems the Republican presidential field is ready to renew that dialogue. Newt Gingrich told Maryland Republicans Thursday night that, "No administration in modern times has failed younger blacks more than the Obama administration." But the Republican candidates are still finding their footing when it comes to race, occasionally saying something kind of... weird. Gingrich noted, "I will bet you there is not a single precinct in this state in which the majority will pick for their children food stamps over paychecks." Was there ever any doubt of that?

Related: First GOP Debate with Recognizable Candidates Will Be on June 13

Gingrich--who has a long history of talking about racial issues--has called Obama the "food stamp president" (he would be the "paycheck president"). But he isn't the only 2012 contender to say it's time to go after the black vote. At the Republican Leadership Conference in New Orleans last weekend, Michele Bachmann pointed to high unemployment rates among blacks and Latinos and said, "This president has failed the Hispanic community. He has failed the African-American community." Bachmann managed to avoid sounding tone deaf, unlike some of her 2012 rivals.

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Rick Santorum has focused less on economic issues than social ones in his flirtation with minority voters--which makes sense, given that black voters are generally more socially conservative than the rest of the Democratic Party. But he got into trouble making his case on abortion. "I find it almost remarkable for a black man to say, 'No, we're going to decide who are people and who are not people,'" Santorum said, referring to the Three-Fifths Compromise, which said slaves counted as 60 percent of a person in awarding states seats in Congress.

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Texas Gov. Rick Perry, currently enjoying a lot of buzz and he considers getting into the 2012 race, appeared to have a tin ear Thursday night at a national conference for Latino government officials in San Antonio. The Associated Press' Chris Tomlinson reports that Perry got a very tepid response from the audience during his speech, with this being the biggest cringe moment:

But a joke about how perfect it was to appoint Jose Cuevas to the Texas Alcoholic Beverage Commission because his name sounds like Jose Cuervo--a brand of tequila--fell flat. Perry struggled to regain his confidence as he described Texas as a land of opportunity.

Slate's Dave Weigel observes that Herman Cain causes some reporters to stutter stupidly when trying to ask him about race. Still, his comments about being a black Republican occasionally raise eyebrows. He likes to say his his poll numbers show the Tea Party isn't racist. He says he's okay with being the "black Mike Huckabee." He says Jon Stewart makes fun of him because he's black. And, in an interview with Jeffrey Goldberg, he seemed to say he was more authentically black than Obama: "Most of the ancestors that I can trace were born here in the United States of America," Cain said. "And then it goes back to slavery. And I'm sure my ancestors go all the way back to Africa, but I feel more of an affinity for America than I do for Africa. I'm a black man in America. ... Barack Obama is more of an international."

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Disaffected Republican speechwriter David Frum says Republicans aren't wrong to try to appeal to minority voters. He writes that Gingrich is "making sense... when he asserts that the social catastrophe creates a political opportunity for a party that can bring forward practical ideas to revive economic growth." But Frum says Gingrich falters when he fails to realize that non-Republicans--especially minorities--don't hate Obama as much as Republicans do.

"Given that minority voters in particular do not blame Obama for the bad economy--in fact, continue to respect and admire him--the mood of raging Republican contempt for the president almost guarantees that we will speak about him in ways that deny us any audience for our policy message."

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Monday, June 20, 2011

GOP Convention Ousts Obama Impersonator for Racial Jokes (The Atlantic Wire)

The talk of Saturday's Republican Leadership conference was comedian and professional Obama impersonator Reggie Brown, who was hired to perform his occasionally spot-on caricature of the President. After a slew of questionably appropriate, race-related jokes about Obama, not to mention heavy jabs at GOP candidates, Brown was asked to leave the stage before he could get to Michele Bachmann, the New York Times reports. Video of his act (including the loud music that cuts him off and his escort off stage) is below.

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The term being widely used to describe Brown's jokes about Obama is "racially-tinged," so the general consensus is not that they were racist, per se, but they made the "nearly entirely white" audience more than a little uncomfortable. These are some examples of his "racially-tinged" jokes:

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"I took a vacation in my birth state, Hawaii, or as the Tea Partiers like to call it, Kenya.”"My favorite month is February, Back History Month. See Michele, she celebrates the whole month. I only celebrate half.""My mother loved a black man, and no, she was not a Kardashian."Brown flashed a picture on the screen of Fred Sanford from “Sanford and Son,” saying that's what Obama would look like when he got older.According to the Times, the audience watched "with befuddlement." But up through the off-color Obama jokes, laughter was often uproarious, based on the video below. And of course, no one seemed to mind any Rep. Weiner jokes, though laughter was a little subdued when he flashed the gray boxer picture that the audience had likely seen already in countless comedy acts. The laughter only really died down when Brown turned his attention to members of the GOP. No one laughed at his crying Boehner impression. He was met with boos when he called Newt Gingrich's campaign "frail, and barely clinging to life."

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The crowd seemed downright angry when he referenced Mitt Romney's Mormon faith by showing a picture of him standing next to multiple wives. He went on to mock Tim Pawlenty's performance during the recent GOP debate by saying that Pawlenty missed the event because he was “having his foot surgically removed from his mouth” and added, “Don’t worry. It’s covered under Obamneycare. Along with spinal transplants.” But he really seemed to cross the line when he said “[CNN’s] John King served him up a ball softer than Barney Frank’s backside.” (Frank is a gay member of Congress from Massachusetts.)

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"Now we got Michele Bachmann," he began. Music began to play. According to the Washington Post, RLC President and CEO Charlie Davis made the decision to pull him offstage, and a man came onstage to physically escort Brown off. “I just thought he had gone too far," Davis said. "He was funny the first 10 or 15 minutes, but it was inappropriate, it was getting ridiculous.”

Related: Bachmann Moderates Her Fiery Rhetoric in Iowa


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Herman Cain Tones Down Rhetoric on Muslims Under Fire (The Atlantic Wire)

One way in which Herman Cain has set himself apart from the other Republican 2012 candidates is by being outspoken and uncensored. He's open about his opinion of the other candidates. He's open about saying that Barack Obama was raised in Kenya. And notoriously, when he first entered into the GOP fray, he garnered much attention by saying that he wouldn't appoint Muslims to his cabinet or as a federal judge.

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As much as being outspoken aids fringe candidates seeking name recognition, it seems to cause endless trouble as soon as that candidate tries to position themselves as someone to be taken seriously. For example, in the case of Donald Trump, legitimate intentions or not, once he had successfully drawn enough spotlight that the media started to take him to task, he quickly seemed to stop having quite as much fun.

Related: Jon Stewart Not Exactly Bowled Over by These 2012 GOP Hopefuls

At a press conference following his speech at the RightOnline conference Saturday, it seemed Herman Cain has stopped having as much fun as well. In his own words, he lost his "cool" with a reporter and lambasted supporters of Rep. Ron Paul. Politico described it as a "tense half-hour press conference" and noted that "scrutiny is starting to take its toll on Herman Cain." The major issue he back-pedaled on was his statement about treating applicants for his administration differently if they were Muslim. Cain responded to reporters:

"I am not anti-Muslim. I am anti-terrorist. And so my statement has been misconstrued several times, I've even been called a bigot because I expressed a desire to be cautious if I were to consider a Muslim for my administration. That was the intent..."

"Because I'm thinking from the perspective of what Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu said when I first heard him two or three months after 9/11/01. Number one, he said, terrorism is going to last a long time, and number two, America's got to learn that they -- the terrorists, the jihadists -- they want to kill all of us."

"So, no, I'm not going to play nicey nice and say that I'm not going to take extra precautions in order to be able that make sure that we can do our job."

"If you're trying to make me lose my cool, you are succeeding," Cain said, his voice rising. "I never said I would use any special precautions!"

OK, then, TPM followed up: "So a Muslim applies to be in the administration, he gets in like anybody else?"

"Yes," Cain said.

Cain apologized to the reporter for getting worked up, according to Politico.

“It probably wasn’t politically correct to raise my voice,” he said. “I’m not going to be a punching bag, OK? But you can imagine that I’ve been asked that same question 18,000 times.”

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